基于模型的民机运营阶段失效评估方法研究
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马思思,女,硕士,工程师。主要研究方向:航空器运行数据管理。E-mail:masisi@comac.cc

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马思思,E-mail:masisi@comac.cc

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V37

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Model-based failure assessment method of civil aircraft operation phase
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    摘要:

    基于模型的安全性分析(model-based safety analysis,简称MBSA)方法自提出至今,已经日益成熟,更适用于复杂的民机系统。在当前研究和ARP4761A草案的基础上,运用MBSA方法开展民机在运营阶段的失效评估方法研究,其相较传统方法,将运营数据、功能失效和设备故障集合进同一个模型中,更便于开展运行失效评估。首先,定义运行失效评估模型基本元素,梳理模型构建流程,基于Simulink建立包含失效模块的设备级、系统级和飞机级模型。之后,选择某型号飞机外部照明子系统构建模型,利用某机队运营阶段的运行数据开展算例分析。结果表明,基于模型的失效评估与故障树计算结果误差在可接受范围内,同时开展失效模式与影响分析(failure mode and effect analysis,简称FMEA),利用运行数据计算和仿真得到丧失着陆照明功能危险的发生概率,30次仿真结果表明基于运行数据的发生概率在设计值附近波动,整体略大于设计值,但仍满足安全性要求。

    Abstract:

    The model-based safety analysis (MBSA) has become increasingly mature since its inception and is more suitable for complex civil aircraft systems. On the basis of current research and ARP4761A draft, the MBSA method is used to study the failure assessment method of civil aircraft during the operation phase. Compared to traditional methods, integrating operational data, functional failures, and equipment failures into the same model is more convenient for conducting operational failure assessment. Firstly, this paper defines the basic elements of the operational failure assessment model and sorts out the model construction process, and establishes equipment level, system level, and aircraft level models containing failure modules based on Simulink. The external lighting sub-system of a certain aircraft model was taken as an example to build the model, and a numerical analysis was conducted on the operational data of a certain fleet. The results show that the the error between MBSA and FTA results is within an acceptable range. At the same time, the FMEA analysis was performed, and the probability of loss of landing lighting function hazard was calculated and simulated using operational data. 30 simulation results indicate that the probability of occurrence based on operational data fluctuates around the design value, slightly exceeding the overall design value, but still meeting the safety requirements.

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引用本文

马思思,郑勇乐,马彪.基于模型的民机运营阶段失效评估方法研究[J].民用飞机设计与研 究,2024(1):121-127MA Sisi, ZHENG Yongle, MA Biao. Model-based failure assessment method of civil aircraft operation phase[J]. Civil Aircraft Design and Research,2024,(1):121-127. ( in Chinese)

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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-04-11
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